Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.387709 9.829147 11.407973 13.260838 15.370679 17.693159 20.437874
2025-12-21 5.760939 7.643451 9.928696 12.883700 16.577637 21.014916 26.717419
2025-12-28 4.625869 6.766818 9.581092 13.496580 18.739352 25.445533 34.588285
2026-01-04 3.804348 6.050989 9.209985 13.880342 20.493603 29.388698 42.092996
2026-01-11 3.122767 5.361524 8.706773 13.926380 21.687201 32.586860 48.781398
2026-01-18 2.606890 4.804081 8.275200 13.960936 22.789750 35.668624 55.471263
2026-01-25 2.128187 4.204771 7.668078 13.611880 23.228586 37.763686 60.834522
2026-02-01 1.751550 3.701557 7.126789 13.269653 23.596255 39.723291 66.074546
2026-02-08 1.416978 3.205139 6.513102 12.708754 23.519963 40.944985 70.218296
2026-02-15 1.164725 2.814231 6.021365 12.280461 23.590993 42.362520 74.714053
2026-02-22 1.047946 2.676505 5.976877 12.639853 25.028231 46.080936 83.115589
2026-03-01 0.949262 2.557761 5.949264 13.019368 26.520970 49.976881 92.030089
2026-03-08 0.787320 2.273817 5.571633 12.732039 26.873488 52.125632 98.476909
2026-03-15 0.644383 2.002921 5.181724 12.380346 27.094340 54.111005 104.888891
2026-03-22 0.590048 1.943977 5.247015 12.974830 29.192459 59.607958 117.806467
2026-03-29 0.528150 1.848692 5.211809 13.346140 30.877986 64.465569 129.892837
2026-04-05 0.456916 1.707166 5.040574 13.390725 31.896202 68.141047 140.059442
2026-04-12 0.395793 1.578087 4.875911 13.424137 32.885488 71.819044 150.444638
2026-04-19 0.328567 1.408224 4.572991 13.086829 33.040162 73.873172 157.893329
2026-04-26 0.272739 1.257542 4.290928 12.756154 33.166184 75.863140 165.321208
2026-05-03 0.219712 1.096876 3.946415 12.214270 32.751728 76.713522 170.566032
2026-05-10 0.179427 0.968676 3.668611 11.800569 32.581063 78.037619 176.804630
2026-05-17 0.163473 0.934702 3.673739 12.147712 34.243679 83.325016 191.298917